Monday, December 22, 2008

Newsletter: Buyback of FCCBs


Buyback of FCCBs
Of late there have news reports on various developments relating to Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds (FCCBs). It was only in the late 1990s various corporations started leveraging FCCBs to fund their growth plans.
It is an efficient method of funding, as an FCCB enjoys the general advantage of any convertible instrument. It has the right smoothing effect on the EPS when used for funding a new project or an expansion. Generally the conversion to equity takes p lace after completion of the project for which the funds are raised through the FCCB route. The servicing cost of an FCCB till its conversion is capitalised and hence does not affect the EPS. Post conversion, the earning from the project should more than offset the dilution in EPS due to the expansion of the equity base. Also FCCBs, till they are converted to equity, have the advantage of lower servicing cost applicable for foreign currency loan.
Equilibrium upset
At the same time it also provides an opportunity to leverage the higher PE multiple in the overseas market, which we had seen till the recent meltdown of the global economy. Hence FCCB was a very attractive method of financing.
But the steep fall in share prices together with tight liquidity in the global market has upset the equilibrium, placing both investors and companies in difficulty. The conversion prices for most of the FCCBs were agreed upon years back when the market was experiencing a bull-run. As a result of the steep fall in share prices, the rates are not attractive enough for investors to exercise the conversion. Hence the issuing companies have to find ways to finance the repayment of these bonds.
In this scenario, it makes economic sense for companies to buy back the FCCBs. Such action will not only benefit the companies but also their shareholders. Realising the need and the advantage, the RBI has relaxed its guidelines to enable an issuing company to buy back FCCBs from the market.
RBI eases norms
The earlier relaxation permitted buyback only when the issuing company funded this requirement through new ECBs. This has very little benefit as in today’s global financial market it is almost impossible for companies to raise fresh ECBs to fund the buyback of FCCB.
The new set of guidelines issued by the RBI on December 6, 2008, addresses this difficulty to a certain extent. Now the requirement can be funded using rupees. The foreign currency required to purchase the FCCB can be obtained from the RBI. However this facility is available only when the company is able to buy the FCCB at a discount equal to or more than 25 per cent. One could argue that though the threshold level of 25 per cent discount is arbitrary it is a right step in terms of effective use of the forex reserves.
Internal accruals
However the RBI should seriously reconsider the other condition, namely, that the buyback has to be funded from internal accruals only. This is a stringent condition to meet, as internal accrual will not include share capital or premium on issue of shares. Thus to meet this condition, the total borrowings, including the money required for buyback, should be less than the retained earnings of the company.
This effectively means a debt-equity ratio of less than one. By any standard such a low gearing as a precondition is not justified. Even under the Companies Act, for permitting the buyback of shares the maximum debt-equity ratio allowed is 2:1.
The RBI should reconsider this requirement and bring this precondition in line with Companies Act regulation for buyback of shares. Else, many companies will not be able utilise this opportunity.

Thursday, December 11, 2008

Newsletter : Fundamentals and Finance Career Opportunities in the Fog of Recession

Fundamentals and Finance Career Opportunities in the Fog of Recession
Over the past few months, by far the most common questions we have received have to do with the economy as a whole, and more specifically, how it will impact the market for jobs in corporate finance. We are not in the business of offering economic prognosis or specific investment advice, but since we are committed to helping our clients understand the basics of corporate finance and valuation and prepare for careers in those fields, then naturally we would like to offer a few thoughts on the current environment – and what career opportunities are now out there.

How much longer do I have to wait for the “long-term”?
It is important in an environment like this to keep certain fundamentals in mind. In times of significant volatility, it is tempting to view the stock market as little more than a casino, where prices are largely unrelated to actual corporate performance and everything boils down to investor confidence. There is certainly some truth to such a behaviorist explanation. Fears over the collapse of the financial sector and the pull-back in consumer spending have no doubt contributed to the rapid decline in stock prices, whether those fears prove to be excessive or not. However, the evidence is overwhelming that over the long-term, the market does indeed track the fundamentals of corporate performance and valuation, which means that understanding those fundamentals, is at least as important now as it is during more “normal” times.
A common sense reflection on the nature of the stock market reinforces this point. What a stock investor buys is a share in the value-generating (or value-destroying) investments of the underlying firm. [WARNING: Shameless plug coming up] Those who have attended our course or completed our self study programs know that one way to value these investments is by estimating future cash flows and discounting them to the present by the firm’s cost of capital. Future cash flows are determined by the firm’s ability to generate revenue and control expenses, and the firm’s cost of capital is a required return that represents the opportunity cost of foregoing other investments in favor of the one being chosen. Taken together, these relatively simple factors determine the value of the firm. While they can be difficult to estimate – sometimes impossibly difficult - and vary widely across companies and industries, the concepts themselves are ubiquitous and apply to all firms.
A further consideration of these factors helps to explain the severe drop in stock prices that we have seen over the past 12 months or so. Fears of recession and a pull-back in consumer spending directly affect the revenue growth estimates of a wide range of industries, especially consumer retail. Loan failures from the collapse in the residential real estate market have wiped out billions in expected revenues for financial institutions.

Finally, the impaired ability of financial institutions to extend further credit has raised the cost of capital for nearly all firms as they evaluate future investment projects. Being able to master these concepts is obviously important for someone looking to invest in stocks or bonds, but it is just as important for someone seeking a job in investment banking or corporate finance. Valuation is a critical tool for all types of business planning.

“Back to me! How does this affect me?!”
So, what does all of this mean for those of us pursuing a career in finance? It is certainly the case that because of these fundamental issues, many firms have scaled back their hiring of corporate finance professionals, Large banks are not hiring nearly at the levels they hired last year, and while the less-impaired boutique and middle-market investment banks are picking up some of the slack, it’s nowhere near enough to offset the declines. There is, however, some good news for the dedicated job seeker: There are businesses that – dare I say it – thrive in a recession, and the key is to position your career path and skill set to take advantage of this. Our experience teaching companies has convinced us that the traditional investment banking career search now must be expanded. Below we identify a few of the industries and companies that may benefit from this tumult:

Restructuring and distressed advisory
Investment Banks with strong restructuring practices
Consulting firms


There’s no question that job seekers now must do literally everything right; a polished resume, strong academic background, aggressive networking, core financial modeling skills, and unflinching persistence are the basic ingredients of the post-subprime job seeker.
Good luck!